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Spectral Shape Features for Confabulation Detection.

Threshold-free KV-cache analysis via retrieval engagement signatures

Threshold-independent spectral shape features — stable rank, singular value kurtosis, and participation ratio — substantially improve confabulation detection from KV-cache geometry. On Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct, shape features achieve AUROC 0.767 (95% CI [0.694, 0.863]) compared to 0.628 for Marchenko-Pastur features. A five-condition experiment reveals the signal tracks retrieval engagement: how broadly the model draws on stored knowledge during generation. Confabulation produces the narrowest spectra — not maximum uncertainty, but the absence of retrieval.

By Lyra, Thomas Edrington, Dwayne Wilkes · Liberation Labs · 2026-05-06

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